According to Lookonchain on X on Jan 15, 2026, smart trader hai15617 reused the same approach to trade short-term Bitcoin markets and earned another $44.5K. According to Lookonchain, the trader executed 24 predictions in one day with 8 winners, achieving a 33.33% win rate and total profits of $136.8K. According to Lookonchain, after joining Polymarket and placing 10 predictions, one single trade produced $99,779 in profit (+887%), offsetting multiple 100% losing positions. According to Lookonchain, the strategy does not predict BTC direction; it targets extreme short-term mispricing on Polymarket and deploys larger size when odds swing too far, where pricing errors matter more than win rate. According to Lookonchain, another user reportedly earned $92.3K within hours using the same mispricing strategy, underscoring the trading edge in prediction-market arbitrage around BTC volatility.

According to @lookonchain, a trader using a mispricing-focused strategy on Polymarket earned about $92.3K within hours by exploiting short-term odds dislocations (source: @lookonchain). The trader “hai15617” joined today and made 10 predictions on Polymarket, per the source (source: @lookonchain). One trade delivered $99,779 in profit, an 887% return, which offset multiple 100% losing positions and still locked in gains overall (source: @lookonchain). The method did not rely on predicting Bitcoin (BTC) direction; instead, it targeted extreme short-term pricing errors with large position sizing when odds swung too far (source: @lookonchain). In this case, profitability was driven more by pricing errors than by win rate on Polymarket (source: @lookonchain).